Maddux Nfl Lines (2024)

FAQs

What are the odds in the NFL? ›

The concept is simple: the oddsmakers will set a total for an upcoming NFL game, and bettors can place their wagers on whether or not the total will be either over or under the amount. The speculator can place a bet that the game's total score will be over or under the odds set by the oddsmakers.

Simply put, the greater the odds against a team, the larger the payout will be for anyone who bets on it. For example, 7 to 2 odds mean that for every $2 you wager, you could win $7 if your bet is successful, while 5 to 1 odds mean you could win $5 for every $1 you bet.

The point spread is the expected final score difference between two teams. It is represented as both a negative and positive number; if the spread is 3 points, you'll see that as both -3 and +3. The team that is the favorite to win gets the minus-number (-3); the underdog gets the plus-number (+3).

It's simply the average expected margin of victory.

Every point spread has a plus side and a minus side. Underdogs – or teams not favored to win the game – are represented with plus numbers (i.e. +7.5 or +3) while favorites are denoted with a minus number (-6 or -13.5).

Point spreads are chosen to be maximally difficult to beat, so even a success rate of 5% above a baseline would be considered a success. It has been said by certain professional sports bettors that one should not expect more than approximately 60% accuracy in betting, so this is the figure that we will strive towards.

What 20-to-1 means: When you see 20-to-1 odds, you're looking at a long shot that is unlikely to win. The implied win probability for a team that's 20-to-1 is 4.76%. However, it will pay $20 in profits for every $1 wagered if it wins.

Odds with a plus sign are underdog bets. Plus odds tell you how much profit you will get on a $100 bet. A $100 bet with +200 odds nets you $200 profit plus your original $100 bet. If you bet $20, you would profit $40.

What happens if you bet $100 on a moneyline? If you bet $100 on a moneyline, you might win some money or lose your wager. If the odds for your moneyline bet were +100, you would profit $100 if the team you backed won. If they lose, you are out $100.

To cover the spread, a bettor must either bet on the favorite or the underdog, and to win their wager, the team must cover the point spread—or, win by more than the point spread. Betting the point spread is one of the most popular sports betting methods, along with money line bets, and over/under (total) bets.

How do you pick NFL spreads? ›

How to Bet the Spread in Football. In spread betting, the favorite has to win by a certain number of points for the bettors who pick them to cash in. On the other hand, the underdog 'gets' points, meaning that bettors who back them will see a profit even if they lose, so long as it's by less than the spread.

A spread of +3.5 means a team must win outright or lose by fewer than four points to cover the spread. A +3.5 spread is particularly enticing in football because, as noted earlier, 3-point victory margins are extremely common. An example of a +3.5 spread: New England Patriots +3.5. Miami Dolphins -3.5.

Odds are presented as a positive or negative number next to the team's name. A negative number means the team is favored to win, while a positive number indicates that they are the underdog.

First, sports betting odds outline a particular game or event outcome's theoretical likelihood. Oddsmakers will set the lines according to the implied probability of either outcome happening. The sum of the probabilities exceeds 100%, as sportsbooks take a small cut on both sides of a line.

Money line bets are wagers placed on a game's outcome. In essence, they are bets on which team or competitor will win any given match. As the wager is on who will win, usually with two teams or competitors, money line bets have only a couple of possible outcomes.

At any one time, just over 16,000 are draft eligible, which is only 1.6% of that college player pool. And then only 259 players will be drafted. That is a minuscule 0.016% of the draft-eligible NCAA pool. It is awe-inspiring when you think of it.

Prediction: Who will win Super Bowl 59? The Kansas City Chiefs (+500) are the favorite to win Super Bowl LIX based on betting markets, followed by: San Francisco 49ers (+600) Baltimore Ravens (+1000)

The plus and the minus are key betting indicators in the American odds system, so it's fundamental for even novice bettors to understand what each one means. As a general rule, minus signs indicate favorites, and plus signs indicate underdogs.